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Market Size Calculator

Top-down market sizing — 1% of a $10bn market — convinces nobody. This builds it bottom-up from the number of businesses that could buy and what they would pay.

Your numbers

Result

SOM — realistic 3-year target

$1.06M

TAM — total market
$294.00M
SAM — serviceable market
$35.28M
Customers at SOM
1,800

What this means

A defensible SOM at this size. The number that matters is whether you can name the first hundred customers.

Questions people ask

Why bottom-up?+

Because top-down sizing is unfalsifiable and everyone knows it. Bottom-up forces you to state how many customers exist and what they pay — both of which can be checked.

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